Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility and Working Capital Management Strategies on Profitability with Special Reference to LuSE Listed Manufacturing Firms (2010-2023)
1Pamela Mushitala, 2Chrine, C. Hapompwe
1,2ZCAS University, School of Business, 10101
https://doi.org/10.47191/jefms/v7-i7-90ABSTRACT:
Manufacturing activity in Sub-Saharan African countries, including Zambia, remain insufficient to meet growth and development goals, particularly as the 2030 UN-SDGs milestone approaches. Investment in manufacturing is influenced by the sector's profitability, heavily impacted by firms' financial management. This study investigates the impact of working capital management (WCM) strategies on the profitability of manufacturing companies listed on the Lusaka Securities Exchange (LuSE), with a focus on the moderating effect of exchange rate volatility. The objectives of study were to establish the impact of working capital management strategies on the profitability of LuSE-listed manufacturing firms from 2010-2023, to explores how exchange rate volatility moderates this relationship, and to compare the effectiveness of different strategies in mitigating volatility's negative impact. The research employed a quantitative approach, utilizing multiple data sources for triangulation. Primary data was collected using questionnaires and feedback was received from 80 respondents in finance and management roles within LuSE-listed manufacturing firms, selected through quota sampling. Secondary data, covering the period 2010-2023 was sourced from annual reports for WCM and Return on Assets (ROA) data, while exchange rate volatility data were obtained from the Bank of Zambia. Data analysis involved descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, and panel regression models. The primary data analysis revealed that inventory management is perceived as the most effective WCM strategy for enhancing profitability despite its high vulnerability to exchange rate volatility. Receivables and payables management showed mixed impacts on profitability, indicating their effectiveness depends on external economic factors. Secondary data analysis using fixed effects and dynamic panel data models showed that exchange rate volatility significantly moderates the relationship between WCM components and profitability. Specifically, receivables management exhibited a negative impact on profitability in the presence of exchange rate fluctuations, while inventory management remained an effective strategy. The study's findings align with existing literature that has found a positive correlation between efficient WCM and profitability, as well as studies that have highlighted the significant moderating role of exchange rate volatility on firm performance in the context of effectiveness of WCM strategies. The research provides valuable insights for managers, suggesting that prioritizing inventory management and developing robust risk management strategies can mitigate the adverse effects of exchange rate volatility.
KEYWORDS:
Working Capital Management, Exchange Rate Volatility, Lusaka Securities Exchange, Profitability, Manufacturing Firms
REFERENCES:
1) Afrifa, G. A., Tauringana, V., & Tingbani, I. (2014). Working capital management and performance of listed SMEs. Journal of Small Business & Entrepreneurship, 27(6), 557-578.
2) Afrifa, G. A.-5. (n.d.).
3) Ahn, J. (n.d.). A theory of domestic and international trade finance. In 2020, Emerging market finance: New challenges and opportunities (Vol. 21) (pp. 203-229). Emerald Publishing Limited.
4) Aliyu, A. A., Bello, M. U., Kasim, R., & Martin, D. (2014). Positivist and non-positivist paradigm in social science research: Conflicting paradigms or perfect partners. Journal of Mgmt. & Sustainability, , 4, 79.
5) Almas, L. K., & Obembeb, O. (2014). Agribusiness Model in Africa: A Case Study of Zambeef Products PLC. International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 17(B), 111-116.
6) Almas, L. K.-1. (n.d.).
7) Alvarez, T. S.-3. (n.d.).
8) Amponsah-Kwatiah, K. &.-1. (n.d.).
9) Amponsah-Kwatiah, K. &.-1. (n.d.).
10) Amponsah-Kwatiah, K., & Asiamah, M. (2021). Working capital management and profitability of listed manufacturing firms in Ghana. International journal of productivity and performance management,, 70(7), 1751-1771.
11) Arnaldi, A., Novak, B., Roscigno, R., & Zhang, W. J. (2021). Working capital management and profitability: Empirical evidence. . International Journal of Business Management and Economic Research, 12(2), 1911-1917.
12) Azungah, T. (.-4. (n.d.).
13) Azungah, T. (2018). Qualitative research: deductive and inductive approaches to data analysis. Qualitative research journal,, 18(4), 383-400.
14) Bolek, M. (.-F.-1. (n.d.).
15) Bolek, M. (2013). Working capital management profitability and risk: analyse of companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. e-Finanse:: Financial Internet Quarterly,, 9(3), 1-10.
16) Brautigam, D. (.-1. (n.d.).
17) Brautigam, D. (2022). China and Zambia: creating a sovereign debt crisis. International Affairs, 98(4), 1347-1365.
18) Chalmers, D. K., Sensini, L., & Shan, A. (2020). Working capital management (wcm) and performance of SMEs: Evidence from India. . International Journal of Business and Social Science , 11(7), 57-63.
19) Chandra, P. (2011). Financial management. . Tata McGraw-Hill Education.
20) Chang, C. C. (2022). . Cash conversion cycle and corporate performance: Global evidence. In Encyclopedia of Finance (pp. 2597-2626). Cham: Springer International Publishing.
21) Chansa, F. M.-2. (n.d.).
22) Chansa, F., Mubanga, N., Mudenda, D., & Ndulo, M. (2019). Industrial Growth and Policy in Zambia: Lessons from South Korea. . African Journal of Economic Review, 7(2), 1-26.
23) Chirwa, T. G., & Odhiambo, N. M. (2017). Macroeconomic policy reform and economic growth in Zambia. Euroeconomica, 35(2).
24) Chivwindi, C., Hapompwe, C., & Banda, N. (2023). Modelling Individual Determinants of Small and Medium Enterprises’ Growth - failure in Lusaka Central and Mwembeshi Business Areas. Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Studies, Volume 6 Issue 1, ISSN (print): 2644-0490, ISSN (online): 2644-0504. DOI: 10.47191/jefms/v6-i1-41.
25) Dhole, S. M.-b.-B. (n.d.).
26) Dhole, S. M.-b.-B. (n.d.).
27) Dhole, S., Mishra, S., & Pal, A. M. (2019). Efficient working capital management, financial constraints and firm value: A text-based analysis. . Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 58, 101212.
28) Egbunike, C. F., & Okerekeoti, C. U. (2018). Macroeconomic factors, firm characteristics and financial performance: A study of selected quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. Asian Journal of Accounting Research, 3(2), 142-168.
29) Egbunike, C. F.-1. (n.d.).
30) Emre, K. U., & Derekoy, F. (2020). Analysis of The Relationship Between Exchange Rate Changes and Profitability In Turkey: Example Of Bist Manufacturing Sector. Journal of Business Economics and Finance,, 9(4), 304-319.
31) Emre, K. U.-3. (n.d.).
32) Enow, S. T. (2022). A Meta-Analysis of the Impact of Working Capital on Profitability. . Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, 10(1), 1-10.
33) Enow, S. T.-A.-1. (n.d.).
34) Enqvist, J., Graham, M., & Nikkinen, J. (2015). The impact of working capital management on firm profitability in different business cycles: Evidence from Finland. Research in International Business and finance, 32, 36-49.
35) Eun, C. &. (n.d.).
36) Eun, C., & Resnick, B. (2014). International financial management (6th ed.). New York: McGraw Hill.
37) Gill, A. B.-9. (n.d.).
38) Gill, A., Biger, N., & Mathur, N. (2010). The relationship between working capital management and profitability: Evidence from the United States. Business and economics journal,, 10(1), 1-9.
39) Godswill, O., Ailemen, I., Osabohien, R. C., & Pascal, N. (2018). Working capital management and bank performance: Empirical research of ten deposit money banks in Nigeria. . Banks & bank systems, , 13(2), 49-62.
40) Gołaś, Z. (.-2. (n.d.).
41) Gołaś, Z. (2020). Impact of working capital management on business profitability: Evidence from the Polish dairy industry. . Agricultural Economics, 66(6), 278-285.
42) Haabazoka, L. &. (n.d.).
43) Haabazoka, L., & Kaulu, B. (2023). External Debt, FDI and Copper Prices and their relationship with Tax Revenue Mobilization: The Case of Zambia. Proceedings of the 4th African International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. Lusaka, Zambia: IEOM Society International.
44) Habib, A. &.-3. (n.d.).
45) Habib, A., & Huang, X. (2018). Manufacturing exports, profitability and working capital. Human Systems Management, 37(3), 299-309.
46) Hapompwe, C.C., Banda, N., & Chalwe, N.A. (2024). Examining Critical Success Factors for Africa’s Sustainable Industrial Development with Special Reference to Zambian Manufacturing Sector – Challenges, Prospects & Opportunities. Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Studies. ISSN (print): 2644-0490, ISSN (online): 2644-0504, Volume 07 Issue 01. DOI: 10.47191/jefms/v7-i1-59
47) Hussain, S. A.-s. (n.d.).
48) Hussain, S. H.-2. (n.d.).
49) Hussain, S., Ali, R., Abdul Latiff, A. R., Fahlevi, M., Aljuaid, M., & Saniuk, S. (2024). Moderating effects of net export and exchange rate on profitability of firms: a two-step system generalized method of moments approach. Cogent Economics & Finance,, 12(1), 2302638.
50) Hussain, S., Hassan, A. A., Bakhsh, A., & Abdullah, M. (2020). The impact of cash holding, and exchange rate volatility on the firm’s financial performance of all manufacturing sector in Pakistan. International Journal of Psychosocial Rehabilitation, 24(7), 248-261.
51) Hussain, S., Hassan, A. A., Quddus, A., & Rafiq, M. (2021). Cash conversion cycle sensitivity by moderating role of exchange rates volatility on firm’s financial performance. ,. Business: Theory and Practice, 22(2), 277-289.
52) Jacob, J. (2017). Reliability: How? When? What? Int. J. Adv. Nurs. Manag, 5(372), 2454-2652.
53) Karim, S. U.-3. (n.d.).
54) Karim, S., Umrie, R. H., Bakar, S. W., & Robiyanto, R. (2021). Moderating effect of business environment to working capital and profitability in Indonesia. Contaduría y administración, 66(2), 22-33.
55) Khan, M. A., Alam, S., & Syed, A. J. (2021). Correlation between the profitability and working capital practices: A case study in the Gulf Cooperation Council. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business,, 8(3), 0229-0236.
56) Khan, N. U. (n.d.).
57) Khan, N., Ullah, H., & Kakakheli, S. J. (2019). Impact of working capital (liquidity nexus ratio) on profitability evidence from manufacturing sector of Pakistan (comparative analysis). Journal of Business Strategies, 13(2), 61.
58) Knauer, T. &.-8. (n.d.).
59) Knauer, T., & Wöhrmann, A. (2013). Working capital management and firm profitability. Journal of Management Control, 24(1), 77-87.
60) Laghari, F., & Chengang, Y. (2019). Investment in working capital and financial constraints: Empirical evidence on corporate performance. . International Journal of Managerial Finance , 15(2), 164-190.
61) Lamptey, J., Marsidi, A., Bin, Usman, B., Ali, A. B., & Suleiman, W. (2020). Overconfidence Bias in Working Capital Management and Performance of Small and Medium Enterprises: The Perspectives of Ghanaian SME Managers. International Journal Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 10(6), 751–765.
62) Lau, F. (2016). Methods for Correlational Studies. In F. Lau, & C. Kuziemsky (Eds.), Handbook of eHealth Evaluation: Evidence (pp. 213-225). Victoria, B.C, Canada: University of Victoria.
63) Masilokwa, I., Cheelo, C., Mungomba, N., & Ngándwe, C. S. (2020). Bank of Zambia Working Paper Series Investor Perception Index: Foreign Investors Perspective on the Investment and Doing Business Environment in Zambia. Lusaka, Zambia: Bank of Zambia.
64) Mulungu, K. &.–2. (n.d.).
65) Mulungu, K., & Ng’ombe, J. N. (2017). Sources of economic growth in Zambia, 1970–2013: A growth accounting approach. . Economies, 5(2), 15.
66) Nastiti, P. K., Atahau, A. D., & Supramono, S. (2019). Working capital management and its influence on profitability and sustainable growth. . Business: Theory and Practice, 20, 61-68.
67) Ndonye, P. K. (n.d.).
68) Ndonye, P. K. (2021). Effect of Working Capital Management on the Profitability of Listed Manufacturing Firms in Kenya (Doctoral dissertation) . KCA University.
69) Okika, E., Udeh, D. F., & Okoye, G. O. (2018). Effect of exchange rate fluctuation on firm profitability: Evidence from selected quoted conglomerates in Nigeria. . Available at SSRN 3461137.
70) Ren, T., Liu, N., Yang, H., Xiao, Y., & Hu, Y. (2019). Working capital management and firm performance in China. . Asian Review of Accounting, 27(4), 546-562.
71) Sardanis, A. (2015). Zambia: The First Fifty Years. The Round Table,, 104(1), 9-17.
72) Seeram, E. (2019). An overview of correlational research. Radiologic Technology,, 91(2), 176-179.
73) Sichoongwe, K., Thompson, P.B., & Hapompwe, C. (2021). Applying the Growth Identification and Facilitation Framework: The Case of Zambia. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development.www.iiste.org. Vol.12, No.14. ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online). DOI: 10.7176/JESD/12-14-01
74) Simon, S., Sawandi, N., Kumar, S., & El-Bannany, M. (2021). Economic downturns and working capital management practices: A qualitative enquiry. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 13(4), 529-547.
75) Singh, H., Kumar, S., & Colombage, S. (2017). "Working capital management and firm profitability: a meta-analysis". Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 9(1), 34-47.
76) Singhania, M., & Mehta, P. (2017). Working capital management and firms’ profitability: evidence from emerging Asian countries. . South Asian Journal of Business Studies, 6(1), 80-97.
77) Sunday, S. (2018). The moderating effect of economic conditions on the relationship between working capital management and firm performance in Nigeria (Doctoral dissertation) . Universiti Utara Malaysia.
78) Supiyadi, D. (2023). The Effect of Working Capital Management on the Profitability of Small and Medium Enterprises: Meta-Analysis. Journal of Business and Management INABA (JBMI), 2(01), 9-28.
79) Ukaegbu, B. (.-1. (n.d.).
80) Ukaegbu, B. (2014). The significance of working capital management in determining firm profitability: Evidence from developing economies in Africa. Research in International Business and Finance,, 31, 1-16.
81) ussain, S. A.-s. (n.d.).
82) Woiceshyn, J., & Daellenbach, U. (2018). Evaluating inductive vs deductive research in management studies: Implications for authors, editors, and reviewers. . Qualitative Research in Organizations and Management: An International Journal, 13(2), 183-195.
83) Yeboah, M., & Takacs, A. (2019). Does exchange rate matter in profitability of listed companies in South Africa?: an empirical approach. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 9(6), 171-178.