Analysis Overconfidence, Herding, and Anchoring in Investment Decisions Among ESOP at PT Bank Central Asia
1Niken Purbasari, 2Mahatma Kupefaksi,3Ernie Hendrawaty
1,2,3Master Of Management, Faculty Economic And Business, University Of Lampung, Indonesia
https://doi.org/10.47191/jefms/v7-i6-16ABSTRACT:
This This study aims to determine the influence of behavioral finance or psychological bias on investment decisions made by Employee Stock Ownership holders of PT Bank Central Asia. Tbk focuses on variables such as overconfidence, herding, and anchoring. This research is based on qualitative data and uses multiple linear regression for its analysis and research tools using SPSS. This research questionnaire was spread across 155 holders of Employee Stock Ownership of PT Bank Central Asia.Tbk. The results showed that overconfidence and anchoring have a significant effect on influencing investment decisions. Overconfidence has the most significant influence on decision-making while herding has a more moderate influence. This research is expected to help understand what factors can influence investment decisions and can help to make better decisions and avoid potential biases that can lead to suboptimal results.
KEYWORDS:
Behavioral Finance, Investment Decision, Employee Stock Ownership.
REFERENCES:
1) Alsedrah, I. & Ahmad, N., 2014. Behavioral Finance: The Missing Piece in Modern Finance. Proceedings of the First Middle East Conference on Global Business, Economics, Finance and Banking.2) Ayu Wulandari, D., & Iramani, R. (2014). Studi Experienced Regret, Risk Tolerance, Overconfidence Dan Availability Pada Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi. Journal of Business and Banking, 4(1), 55. https://doi.org/10.14414/jbb.v4i1.293.
3) Barberis, N. & Thaler, R., 2003. A Survey Of Behavioral Finance. National Bureau of Economic Research.
4) Jamali, Mohammad., Mohammad Hossein Ranjbar; Bijan Abedini (2014), Analyzing The Effective Behavioral Factors On The Investors' Performance In Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). International Journal of Art & Humanity Science (IJAHS), 1 (2), hal:1-7. e-ISSN: 2349-5235.
5) Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1977). Intuitive prediction: Biases and corrective procedures. Decisions and Designs Inc Mclean Va.
6) Kahneman D. Tversky, A. (1982). Intuitive prediction: biases and corrective procedures. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.
7) Kengatharan, L. and Kengatharan, N. (2014), “The influence of behavioral factors in making investment decisions and performance: a study on investors of Colombo Stock Exchange, Sri Lanka”, Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, Vol. 6 No. 1, p. 1.
8) Khan, A. R., Azeem, M. & Sarwar, S., 2017. Impact of Overconfidence and Loss Aversion Biases on Investor Decision Making Behavior: Mediating Role of Availability. International Journal of Transformation in Accounting, Auditing & Taxation.
9) Kübilay, B. and Bayrakdaroglu, A. (2016), “An empirical research on investor biases in financial decision-making, financial risk tolerance, and financial personality”, International Journal of Financial Research, Vol. 7 No. 171, pp. 1923-4023.
10) Masomi, S. R., & Ghayekhloo, S. 2011. Consequences of human behavior in the Economy: Effects of Behavior Factors in making investment decisions on the Tehran Stock Exchange. In the International Conference on Business and Economic Research (Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 234-237)
11) Nofsinger, J. R. (2005). Social Mood and Financial Economics. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 6(3), 144–160. https://doi.org/10.1207/s15427579jpfm0603_4
12) Pompian, M. M. (2006). Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management: How to Build Optimal Portfolios That Account for Investor Biases.
13) Pompian. (2007). Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management – How to Build Optimal Portfolios That Account for Investor Biases. In Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (Vol. 21, Issue 4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-007-0065-3
14) Pradhana, R. W. (2018). Pengaruh Financial Literacy, Cognitive Bias, Dan Emotional Bias Terhadap Keputusan Investasi (Studi Pada Investor Galeri Investasi Universitas Negeri Surabaya). Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen (JIM), 6(3), 108–117
15) Subash, R., 2012. Role of Behavioral Finance in Portfolio Investment Decision: Evidence from India. Charles University in Prague.
16) Trinugroho, I. and Sembel, R. (2011), “Overconfidence and excessive trading behavior: an experimental study”, International Journal of Business and Management, Vol. 6 No. 7.
17) Ullah, I., Ullah, A. & Rehman, N. U., 2017. Impact Of Overconfidence and Optimism on Investment Decision. International Journal of Information, Business and Management.
18) Virlics, A., 2013. Investment Decision Making and Risk. Procedia Economics and Finance, pp. 169-177.
19) Wu, Y.-L., Chang, M.C.S. and Yang, P.-C. (2008), “Using fuzzy AHP to evaluate the content of 3G mobile communication value-added service”, Journal of Statistics and Management Systems, Vol. 11 No. 5, pp. 951-979, available at: www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09720510.2008.10701352