Analysis of the Effect Liquidity, Leverage, Profitability and Sales Growth on Financial Distress (Altman Z-Score) (Empirical Study of Retail Sub - Sector Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) 2015-2019
1Dewi Purwanti 2Dr. Ir. Andam Dewi Syarif , MM
1,2 Mercu Buana University, Jakarta, Indonesia
https://doi.org/10.47191/jefms/v5-i3-23ABSTRACT:
Financial distress is a condition when a company is experiencing financial difficulties, resulting in the company being unable to pay its obligations and leading to bankruptcy. This study was conducted to examine the liquidity ratio (Current Ratio), leverage (Debt to Equity Ratio), profitability (Return on Equity), and sales growth to financial distress (Altman Z-Score) in retail sub-sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) for the 2015-2019 period. The number of selected samples is 16 companies and has been determined using the purposive sampling method. The data collected is in the form of financial statements for the 2015-2019 periods. The analytical method used is the panel data regression method with the Common Effect model. The results of this study indicate that the current ratio, debt to equity ratio, sales growth have a positive effect on financial distress (Altman Z-Score), while return on equity does not affect financial distress (Altman Z-Score).
KEYWORDS:
Financial Distress (Altman Z-Score), Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Ratio, Return on Equity, Sales Growth
REFERENCES:
1) Altman, Edward I. 1968. Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy, The Journal of Finance, vol. 23, pp 589-609.
2) Assaji , J. P. , & Machmuddah , Z. (2019). Ratio Finance and Financial Distress Prediction. Journal Research Economics and Business, 2(2), 58–67. DOI:10.33633/2i2.2042.
3) Central Bureau of Statistics. (2016). Indonesia's economy in the fourth quarter of 2015 grew 5.04 percent highest During 2015. Downloaded from https://www.bps.go.id/pressrelease/2016/02/05/1267/ekonomi-indonesia-triwulan-iv-2015-tumbuh-5-04-persen-tertinggi-selama-tahun-2015.html
4) Brigham, F. & Joel, F. (2011). Management Fundamentals Finance, Book 2 Edition 11. Salemba Four. Jakarta.
5) Stock Exchange. (2020). Report Financial and Annual. Downloaded from https://idx.co.id/enterprise-tercatat/laporan-keuangan-dan-tahunan
6) Chepkorir K. N., & Cheboi Y. J. (2017). Strategic Conformity and Financial Distress Among Listed Firms in Nairobi Securities Exchange. International Journal of Economics, Commerce, and Management, Vol. V, Issue 9,19–36. ISSN23480386.
7) Chiaramonte, L. & Casu, B. (2017). Capital and Liquidity Ratios and Financial Distress. Evidence from The European Banking Industry. British Accounting Review, 49(2), 138–161. DOI:10.1016/2016.04.001.
8) CEIC Data. (2020). Indonesia Pertumbuhan Penjualan Ritel (2015-2019). Diunduh dari https://www.ceicdata.com/id/indicator/indonesia/retail-sales-growth
9) Fadilla, F. ( 2019). Influence Capital Structure, Company Growth, and Profitability Against Financial Distress (Study on Food and Beverage Manufacturing Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange 2014-2017 Period). E-Proceedings of Management, 6(2), 3610–3617
10) Fahmi, I. ( 2013). Introduction Management Finance. Alphabet. Bandung.
11) Farid & Siswanto. (2011). Report Analysis Finance. Earth Literature. Jakarta.
12) Ghozali, I. (2013). Application Multivariate Analysis with IBM SPSS 21 Update PLS Regression Program. Diponegoro University Publishing Agency. Semarang.
13) Ghozali, I. (2016). Application Analysis Multivariate With IBM SPSS 23 Program. 8th Edition. VIII Printing. Diponegoro University Publishing Agency. Semarang.
14) Giarto , RVD, & Fachrurrozie , F. (2020). The Effect ff Leverage, Sales Growth, Cash Flow on Financial Distress with Corporate Governance as A Moderating Variable. Accounting Analysis Journal, 9(1), 15–21. DOI:10.15294/31022.
15) Gujarati, N. (2012). Basics _ Econometrics ( Translation ). Book 2. Edition 5. Salemba. Jakarta.
16) Kazemian, S., Shauri, N. A. A., Sanusi, Z. M., Kamaluddin, A., & Shuhidan, S. M. (2017). Monitoring Mechanisms and Financial Distress of Public Listed Companies in Malaysia. Journal of International Studies, 10(1), 92–109. DOI:10.14254/2071-8330.2017/10-1/6.
17) Klepac, V., & Hampel, D. (2017). Predicting Financial Distress of Agriculture Companies in EU. Agricultural Economics (Czech Republic), 63(8), 347–355. DOI:10.17221/374/2015.
18) Kusuma, E. (2017). Influence Liquidity, Leverage and Profitability Against Financial Distress (Z-Score) Property, Real Estate, and Manufacturing Companies 2014-2016 period. Journal Management, 14(1), 16.
19) Loman, RK, & Malelak, MI (2015). Determinant to Prediction. Journal of Research in Economics and Management, 15(2), 371–381.
20) Lucky, L. A., & Michael, A. O. (2019). Leverage and Corporate Financial Distress in Nigeria: A Panel Data Analysis. Asian Finance & Banking Review, 3(2), 26–38. DOI:10.46281/370.
21) Maisarah & Zamzami. (2018). Analysis Ratio Finance for Predict Financial Distress Condition of Islamic Banking in Indonesia ( Case Study on Islamic Banks in Indonesia Period 2011-2016). Journal Accounting and Finance Unja, Vol.3, No.4.
22) Masdupi, E., Tasman, A., & Davista, A. (2018). The Influence of Liquidity, Leverage, and Profitability on Financial Distress of Listed Manufacturing Companies in Indonesia. Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research, Vol.57. DOI:10.2991/pice-18.2018.51
23) Muazaroh, M. (2017). Ratio Performance Finance for Predicting Financial Distress Conditions in Service Companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2009-2014 Period. Journal of Business & Banking, 6(1), 81–98. DOI:10.14414/ job.v 6i1.893.
24) Ranjbar , S., & Amanollahi , GF (2018). The Effect of Financial Distress on Earnings Management and Unpredicted Net Earnings in Companies Listed on Tehran Stock Exchange. Management Science Letters, 8(9), 933–938. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.msl.2018.6.015.
25) Saputra, AJ, & Salim, S. (2020). Influence Profitability, Leverage, Farm Size, and Sales Growth Against Financial Distress. Multiparadigm Accountancy Tarumanagara, 2(1), 262–269.
26) Sartono , & Fatmawati . (2015). Management Finance Theory and Applications . BPFE. Yogyakarta.
27) Septyanto , D., & Welandasari , NF (2020). Effect of Current Ratio, Debt to Asset Ratio, and Return to Success on Financial Distress in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Journal Accounting, 231–247.
28) Setiaji. H. (2019). Slowing Down Since 2015, Sales Retail is Slightly Improved in 2018. Downloads from: https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/market/20190211170350-17-54862/melalang-sejak-2015-penjualan-ritel-agak-membaik-di-2018.on 12 June 2020.
29) Sopian, D., & Rahayu WP (2017). Influence Ratio Finance and Company Size on Financial Distress ( Empirical Study on Food and Beverage Companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange ). Competitive Journal Accounting and Finance, Vol.1 No.2, 13.
30) Ufo, A. (2015). Impact of Financial Distress on the Leverage of Selected Manufacturing Firms of Ethiopia. Journal of Poverty, Investment and Development, 5(10), 8–13.
31) Vo Xuan, V. (2015). Using Accounting Ratios in Predicting Financial Distress: An Empirical Investigation in the Vietnam Stock Market. Journal of Economics and Development, 17(1), 41–49. DOI:10.33301/2015.17.01.03.
32) Waqas, H., & Md-Rus, R. (2018). Predicting Financial Distress: Importance of Accounting and Firm-Specific Market Variables for Pakistan’s Listed Firms. Cogent Economics and Finance, 6(1), 1–16. DOI:10.1080/23322039.2018.1545739.
33) Wesa, E. W., & Otinga, H. N. (2018). Determinants of Financial Distress Among Listed Firms At the Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya. Journal of Business & Change Management, 5(4), 1056-1073. ISSN: 2312-9492.
34) Zhafirah, A. ( 2019). Analysis Determinants of Financial Distress. Analysis Determinants of Financial Distress, 7(1), 195–202. DOI:10.17509/ jrak.v 7i1.15497.
35) Zulganef . (2018). Research Method Business and Management. PT Refika Aditama . Bandung.